Here's the biggest news you missed this weekend.
Presumptive Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden speaks at the Hotel DuPont in Wilmington, Del., on Thursday. While Biden holds a 10 percentage point favorability advantage, 53 percent to 43 percent, Trump is underwater by 12 points.
A separate CNN poll released Monday showed Biden up just 4 points over Trump, one of the best national poll results for the president in months and within the poll’s margin of error.The CNN poll—which was conducted August 12 to August 15, in a survey of 987 registered voters—is somewhat of an outlier, as a running average of national polls show Biden ahead by around 8 points, according to Real Clear Politics’ There are other worrying signs for Biden: Trump voters are more enthusiastic (9 in 10 voters say so) about voting for their candidate than Biden supporters (about 8 in 10 voters), according to the Biden leads by just one point over Trump across 15 battleground states in CNN’s poll (Trump won 10 of those states in 2016, while 5 were won by Hillary Clinton. How un popular is Donald Trump? I also launched my own startup, Newsreel, a politics news platform for a young audience. Joe Biden holds a significant lead over President Trump on the first day of his party’s convention, polls show, though there are signs the race is … That’s a contrast from four years ago, when Clinton’s unfavorable ratings were nearly as negative as Trump’s by the time of the November election.Pointing to the ABC News/Washington Post poll, he noted that “Democrats are motivated by fear of another term of Trump in the White House. (Note: The Economist/YouGov poll, one of the seven polls included in this average, which shows Biden leading by nine points appears to have been released on Tuesday, the final day of the survey.) When Trump won four years ago, Republicans were motivated by a fear of a Clinton presidency.”“I think having fear on your side these days is a much more powerful than having enthusiasm for your cause. UPDATED Aug. 16, 2020 at 9:15 AM. Biden’s lead over Trump in the Real Clear Politics poll average has dropped almost four points since June 23, when it was 10.2 percent. All market data delayed 20 minutes. "But as they do every election cycle, public opinion pollsters are now switching to the likely voter model. Casual dining chains like … Results from the full survey have a margin of error of plus or minus three percentage points.Howard Kurtz: What Republicans can learn from mistakes made at the DNCVenezuelans migrants wait at Colombian border camp to enter their countryRussian doctors rule out poisoning for Navalny and agree to his evacuationState Department challenges UN Security Council's 'lack of courage' on IranBill Hemmer breaks down the potential electoral paths that Trump and Biden may take to victory in 2020Lori Loughlin sentenced to 2 months in college admissions scandalLori Loughlin sentenced to 2 months in prison in college admissions scandalHow Black women paved the way for Kamala Harris' political riseContradicting DeJoy’s claims, USPS internal documents show how overtime has been limitedDNC plans counterprogramming during GOP convention to highlight Trump's 'chaos presidency'‘What was his analysis?’: Rep. Maloney blasts Postmaster General for changes, delays in USPSArmy Green Beret charged with spying for Russia, allegedly got Russian code name back in 1997This is the Only Reason You Should Pay More for GroceriesHarris Polls Higher Than Biden Among Women, RepublicansPoll: Biden maintains clear lead over Trump nationallyHoward Kurtz: What Republicans can learn from mistakes made at the DNCThe Democratic National Convention had some strong speeches but at times felt like a 'tedious telethon,' Fox News media analyst Howard Kurtz says.Experts are still trying to solve several mysteries about the virus, including how susceptible children are and how long immunity may last.Venezuelans migrants wait at Colombian border camp to enter their countryDozens of Venezuelan migrants are stuck at a makeshift camp on the border city of Cucuta, Colombia, as they wait to cross into their home country. While Biden holds a ten percentage point favorability advantage, 53 percent to 43 percent, Trump is underwater by 12 points.
Previously, I've written for TIME, Newsweek, the New York Daily News and VICE News. All rights reserved. All President Trump Job Approval Polling Data. Their approval ratings were cemented below 40%Another measure is the candidates’ favorability ratings. Clinton ended up edging Trump in the national popular vote by 2 points -- but losing the Electoral College.Despite all the attention on national polls, the presidential election is not determined by the national popular vote – it’s a race for the states and their electoral votes. An updating calculation of the president's approval rating, accounting for each poll's quality, recency, sample size and partisan lean.
They'll need to do better.
Trump’s pilloried the polls as "fake" and touted, "I am getting VERY GOOD internal Polling Numbers. I was thinking that the Trump-Pence ticket was in trouble. Polls from firms that are banned by FiveThirtyEight are not shown.